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pymc-bayesian-modeling - Build and validate Bayesian models with PyMC

Build, fit, validate, diagnose, and compare Bayesian models with PyMC using MCMC, variational inference, and predictive checks.

Tags

Updated: 2026-09-30

Capabilities

Typical Inputs

Typical Outputs

What this skill does

  • Build Bayesian models
  • Run NUTS sampling
  • Perform variational inference
  • Check prior predictions
  • Diagnose sampling convergence
  • Check posterior predictions
  • Compare models with LOO
  • Compare models with WAIC
  • Generate posterior predictions
  • Average model predictions

Inputs

  • Observed data
  • Predictor values
  • Model specifications
  • New predictor values
  • Model inference data

Outputs

  • Fitted model results
  • Sampling diagnostics
  • Posterior summaries
  • Predictive distributions
  • Model comparison results
  • Prediction intervals

Requirements

  • Python environment
  • PyMC 5.x or later
  • ArviZ
  • NumPy

Source

  • Spec: SKILL.md
Bayesian modeling
Probabilistic programming
PyMC
MCMC
NUTS
Variational inference
Model comparison
Build Bayesian models
Run NUTS sampling
Perform variational inference
Check prior predictions
Observed data
Predictor values
Model specifications
Fitted model results
Sampling diagnostics
Posterior summaries