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pymc-bayesian-modeling - Build and validate Bayesian models with PyMC

Builds, fits, validates, diagnoses, and compares Bayesian models with PyMC, including hierarchical models, MCMC, variational inference, predictive checks, and LOO/WAIC.

Tags

Updated: 2026-09-30

Capabilities

Typical Inputs

Typical Outputs

What this skill does

  • Build Bayesian models
  • Fit models with MCMC
  • Run variational inference
  • Check prior predictions
  • Check posterior predictions
  • Diagnose sampling issues
  • Compare models with LOO/WAIC
  • Generate posterior predictions
  • Analyze posterior results

Inputs

  • Datasets
  • Predictor and outcome values
  • Grouping or time-series structure
  • New predictor values
  • Model specifications
  • Fitted model outputs

Outputs

  • Fitted Bayesian model results
  • Posterior samples
  • Sampling diagnostics
  • Predictive check results
  • Model comparison results
  • Prediction intervals
  • Model-averaged predictions

Requirements

  • Python environment
  • PyMC 5.x or later
  • ArviZ package
  • NumPy package

Source

  • Spec: SKILL.md

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Bayesian modeling
PyMC
Probabilistic programming
MCMC
Hierarchical models
Model comparison
Build Bayesian models
Fit models with MCMC
Run variational inference
Check prior predictions
Datasets
Predictor and outcome values
Grouping or time-series structure
Fitted Bayesian model results
Posterior samples
Sampling diagnostics