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sat.diagnostic_reasoning - Evaluate evidentiary weight against competing hypotheses

Applies Bayesian-style updating of a single new datum against competing explanations to evaluate evidentiary weight and update hypothesis rankings.

Tags

Updated: 2026-09-17

Capabilities

Typical Inputs

Typical Outputs

What this skill does

  • Evaluate evidentiary weight
  • Assign comparative likelihoods
  • Update hypothesis rankings
  • Assess diagnostic value of data
  • Identify discriminating checks

Inputs

  • New datum
  • Competing hypotheses
  • Prior assessments
  • Caller-provided context

Outputs

  • Explicit likelihood comparisons
  • Qualitative likelihood ratios
  • Updated hypothesis rankings
  • Diagnostic value assessment and recommendations

Requirements

    Source

    • Spec: SKILL.md

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    structured analytic technique
    bayesian updating
    hypothesis evaluation
    diagnostic reasoning
    Evaluate evidentiary weight
    Assign comparative likelihoods
    Update hypothesis rankings
    Assess diagnostic value of data
    New datum
    Competing hypotheses
    Prior assessments
    Explicit likelihood comparisons
    Qualitative likelihood ratios
    Updated hypothesis rankings