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thinking-fermi-estimation - Order-of-magnitude estimation tool

Make order-of-magnitude estimates by decomposing into estimable factors

Tags

Updated: 2026-06-30

Capabilities

Typical Inputs

Typical Outputs

What this skill does

  • decompose problem
  • estimate factors
  • combine factors
  • calculate result
  • verify estimate
  • assess feasibility
  • estimate cost
  • size market
  • plan capacity

Inputs

  • estimation question
  • known data
  • benchmarks
  • assumptions

Outputs

  • order-of-magnitude estimate
  • calculation breakdown
  • confidence range
  • feasibility assessment

Requirements

    Source

    • Spec: SKILL.md

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    estimation
    analysis
    planning
    capacity-planning
    cost-estimation
    market-sizing
    decompose problem
    estimate factors
    combine factors
    calculate result
    estimation question
    known data
    benchmarks
    order-of-magnitude estimate
    calculation breakdown
    confidence range