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thrivve-mc-when - Monte Carlo completion date forecasting

Forecast completion dates using Monte Carlo simulation based on historical throughput data

Tags

Updated: 2026-03-26

Capabilities

Typical Inputs

Typical Outputs

What this skill does

  • run Monte Carlo simulation
  • calculate completion dates
  • analyze throughput data
  • check process variation
  • generate percentile forecasts
  • validate input data

Inputs

  • historical throughput data
  • stories remaining count
  • confidence level
  • start date

Outputs

  • completion date forecast
  • percentile breakdown
  • statistical summary
  • process variation report
  • JSON structured output

Requirements

  • Python runtime environment
  • scripts/thrivve-mc-when.py script
  • minimum 10 days throughput data

Source

  • Spec: SKILL.md
monte carlo
forecasting
agile
throughput
project management
data analysis
run Monte Carlo simulation
calculate completion dates
analyze throughput data
check process variation
historical throughput data
stories remaining count
confidence level
completion date forecast
percentile breakdown
statistical summary